Poll Alert: USA Today/Gallup General Election Poll

Cross posted from here.

Here is the full poll that Matthew E. Miller wrote about eariler:

USA Today/Gallup General Election Poll, conducted Sept. 5th-7th, 2008

Likely Voters:

  • McCain/Palin 54%
  • Obama/Biden 44%

Registered Voters:

  • McCain/Palin 50%
  • Obama/Biden 46%

The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3 points for both samples.

Inside the numbers:

Before the convention, Republicans by 47%-39% were less enthusiastic than usual about voting. Now, they are more enthusiastic by 60%-24%, a sweeping change that narrows a key Democratic advantage. Democrats report being more enthusiastic by 67%-19%.

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a national unknown before McCain chose her for the ticket 10 days ago, draws a strong reaction from voters on both sides. Now, 29% say she makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 21% less likely.

Posted under Politics, Poll Watch

This post was written by Brett W. Passmore on September 7, 2008

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Update (9/7)

Rasmussen Daily General Election Tracking (9/7)

  • John McCain 46%
  • Barack Obama 46%

With Leaners

  • John McCain 48%
  • Barack Obama 48%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

  • John McCain 58% / 40% (+18%)
  • Barack Obama 56% / 43% (+13%)

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men.

McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama’s lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women.

Posted under Politics, Poll Watch

This post was written by Brett W. Passmore on September 7, 2008

Poll Alert: Gallup Daily Tracking Poll (9/7)

Gallup Daily General Election Tracking (9/7)

  • John McCain 48%
  • Barack Obama 45%

Survey of 2,765 registered voters was conducted September 3-5. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Posted under Politics, Poll Watch

This post was written by Brett W. Passmore on September 7, 2008