Brett Passmore Rants and Raves on Politics, Technology, Religion, and Life.

From my friend, Jeff Lindner at the Harris County Flood Control District. This is his personal opinion, not the HCFCD official stance.

After a fairly uneventful season in 2009, the atmospheric indicators for the 2010 hurricane season support a return to our recent hyper active season. The main influences this season will be very warm sea surface temperatures (SST’s), forecasted below normal sea level pressures, and the demise of El Nino in the central Pacific.

2010 Harris County Evacuation Map

Victoria County Evacuation Zones

Calhoun County Evacuation Zones
 
1)      Atlantic SST’s are at record high levels in the region between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. For the months of March, April, and May SST”s in this region are the warmest on record and are running anywhere between 2-3 degrees above normal. Warm water is the fuel that feed tropical cyclone birth and intensity and such values of upper oceanic heat content in the deep tropics is concerning. Similar warm values (although not as warm) were noted in the record breaking 2005 season in the same general area.
 
2)      Forecast modeling of sea level pressures (SLP) in the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and even the Gulf of Mexico suggest below to well below normal SLP in these regions during the heart of the 2010 hurricane season. This includes SLP averaging between 50-100% below normal over the Caribbean Sea in the months of July, August, and September. Lower than average SLP allow favorable surface breeding grounds for tropical cyclones and helps to enhance stronger storms with lower than average background pressures. Similar tendencies were noted during the 2005 season leading to the strongest hurricane in Atlantic basin history (Wilma) and 2 category 5 hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico (Rita and Katrina).
 
3)      The rapid demise of El Nino in the central Pacific this spring no longer offers the Atlantic basin its protective veil of upper level wind shear…highly common in the 2009 season. With El Nino conditions quickly moving toward neutral and forecasting models showing neutral to weak La Nina conditions developing during the heart of the 2010 hurricane season, favorable to very favorable upper air conditions will likely be in place across the entire Atlantic basin especially once into the month of July. Instead of stronger than average wind shear as noted last season, this season may offer average to even below average wind shear, allowing better storm organization, long tracked hurricanes, and potentially stronger hurricanes. 
 
With the above factors coming in to play this season, and with the Atlantic basin remaining in the hyper active phase it entered into starting 1995, the chances of an active to very active 2010 hurricane season are good. Well above average named storms is likely with several becoming hurricanes and an above average chance of more than 3 major hurricanes. No portion of the US coast appears more at risk than any other based on current atmospheric parameters, but certain portions of the US coast are generally more at risk due to their location…such as Florida.
 
It is strongly urged that residents review their hurricane preparation plans, evacuation plans, and fully stock their hurricane kits. The time to prepare is NOW!

Posted under Personal

Posted under Personal

Sold. Thanks!

Posted under For Rent, For Sale, Personal, RV

Well,

It is time to update this blog with some random post that will both show my wit and pique your curiosity about the genius that is Brett Passmore.

Hard to say what will be the outcome of the Massachusetts senate race. Heck, 5 days ago I would have thought that it was impossible for anyone but a true-blue democrat will ever take back a northeaster senate seat, much less Kennedy’s old one.

Who saw this coming? I didn’t. But then that goes to show you how short sighted we are. Anyone and everyone know that things (thoughts, processes, society) all run in cycles. Up and down, around and around. Nothing will stay the same permanently. Sometimes it takes 47 years (snarky jab at Kennedy’s tenure), but things will roll back around.

Posted under Personal

You know you are doing something right when you are vilified by the left like Glenn Beck is. Bring it on, right?

Well, Cass Sunstein, Obama’s regulatory czar has suggested that very thing in no uncertain terms. Without Glenn bringing these things to the front, no one else would. The media at large has denied and refused looking into the czars Obama has appointed without oversight. Thank you Glenn for talking about the things no one else thought was necessary. Because of your digging in and exposing Van Jone’s own words, he resigned in disgrace from the Green Jobs czar position.

Cass Sunstein needs to be next. This twit also advocates giving animals a public defender to sue their owners, or hunters. Imagine Cass’s perfect world, a deer you shoot at in the woods has the rights to sue you for attempted murder. Nuts.

Now this, extraction of deceased persons organs with out consent. Nuts.

CNSNews.com – Obama Regulation Czar Advocated Removing People?s Organs Without Explicit Consent

Posted under Personal

I have successfully navigated the murky waters of AT&T to identify the process of getting the blackberry tethering to work with my Windows based PC and I wanted to provide a resource for others.

Setting up the Bluetooth Dial up Networking was the easy part, avoiding the PPP 734 Error was the pain. Hint, it had to do with this: AT+CGDCONT=1,”IP”,”wap.cingular”.  I know, it looks Greek, but it is really Aramaic. No, seriously, it is an “Extra Initialization String” that is needed for the “Standard Modem over Bluetooth link” Advanced settings. (See Screen shot). I have the BES Unlimited plan, and these setting worked for me. Apparently if you run the BIS Plan, you  must use AT+CGDCONT=1,”IP”,”isp.cingular” instead.

More to come.

Posted under Personal

One of the biggest deceptions of the modern world is the myth that our children must attend college. I ask why?
We, as Christians and as Parents, must evaluate our children’s needs, abilities, and ambitions and decide if college is the best route.
One option is College Plus, another is apprenticeship programs.

College Plus is located at http://www.collegeplus.org

An apprenticeship locator can be found at: http://maps.servicelocator.org/education/apprenticeship.aspx

Posted under Personal

The mullahs have basically total control of the infrastructure in Iran, from power, to communications, to water, to public services. The rest of the public and privately held resources are also subject to the current government’s whims.

That being said, it does not seem absurd that the mullahs and their proxy government should have the ability to really block most ISPs/ Cellular networks pretty darn quickly. Now that this uprising has been going on for a few days, for sure they should have shut down the pipes that are airing the “dirty laundry”.

This seems like a pretty basic and easy way to kill the communications from the common man.

So, why haven’t they done this? Do they want this aired in this fashion while feigning righteous indignation for some other cause/ propaganda? what is the up side? Do they NOT have this type of control (over the ISPs and Cellular networks?) Am I totally off my rocker here?

I have been watching Fox News today and they sure are using this event for an advertising bonanza. Most programming has been cancelled and Shepard Smith is getting real annoying at this time.

Your thoughts?

Posted under Personal, Politics

Try connecting to \\.\pipe\mssql$microsoft##ssee\sql\query as the server name…

Just FYI!

Posted under Personal

Here are some pics from this morning

Posted under Personal